The big change to the West’s nuclear policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Nuclear Arsenals of the Big 5

Biden may not intend a change in the West’s nuclear policy but big change is coming.

The rest of the West – the UK, France, Europe, Australia, Canada, (and the eastern members of “the West”) Japan, South Korea, Taiwan etc. – all will see the need for a big change from our naive trust in the US nuclear weapons policy to deter Russia which has been found wanting when Biden failed to escalate to save Ukraine from Russian invasionย because he, or another US president, may fail to escalate after an attack on us.

After all, Joe Biden doesn’t want World War 3 and so better to indulge a little sacrilege by betraying the USA’s “sacred commitment” to NATO Article 5 – “an attack on one, is an attack on all” – right Joe?

The rest of the Western world needs a credibile nuclear deterrent to deter Russia when the US declines to do so.

The West – excluding the US – needs to be able to match Russia nuke for nuke – 100s of ICBMs and 1000s of warheads.

The UK and France standing alone – as Biden has left us – do not have enough of a nuclear arsenal to deter Russia.

The US has the only comparable nuclear arsenal to Russia and when the US President fails to deter Russia – like Biden failed to – the world is at Russia’s mercy.

Non-proliferation is dead

The era of nuclear weapons non-proliferation is dead and Biden killed it by refusing to risk nuclear war to save Europe, specifically Ukraine, from Russian invasion.

3 nuclear weapons blocks of countries

I foresee that there will probably be 3 new blocks of nuclear weapons powers.

1. UK+Australia+Canada

2. France+the European Union

3. Japan+South Korea+Taiwan

Any 2 blocks or all 3 blocks could cooperate for nuclear weapons development, production and deployment.

So yes, many countries which presently do not have nuclear weapons will in future get their own nuclear weapons arsenals – Australia, Canada, the EU, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and there may be others.

This is inevitable following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the rattling of nuclear sabres by Russia and the failure of the USA to escalate in Ukraine by using US forces to have no-fly zones, boots on the ground or otherwise go to war against Russia in Ukraine.

Between them, the nuclear superpower dickheads – Putin and Biden – have closed the era of nuclear weapons non-proliferation. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)ย is now not worth the paper it is written on.

The nuclear weapons game is afoot.

UPDATE – Nordic Nukes

With the news that both Sweden and Finland are intent on joining NATO, this opens up the prospect of establishing a new Scandinavian nuclear weapons power block, deploying, say, 4 nuclear weapons submarines, “boomers” to add the equivalent of the nuclear weapons deterrent capability of the UK or France to the western alliance!

4. Sweden + Norway + Denmark + Finland

Nordic Nukes! ๐Ÿ˜€

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CRIMSON TIDE: Labour Party on course for election victory!

Yesterday’s breakthrough poll was no fluke. Today’s YouGov poll confirms the Labour Party’s double-digit poll lead.

The Labour Party is on course to a UK General Election Victory – because Labour are thumping the Tories in England and Wales and don’t need any support from Scottish Labour. So the SNP and the campaign for Scottish independence are not harming the chances of Labour winning in the UK, after all. All Labour ever needed to do was beat the Tories in England and now that’s exactly what Keir Starmer’s Labour Party is doing.

Labour should dare the Tories to call a general election or invite the Queen to do so, if BoJo is running scared of the Crimson Tide as he should be. The men in grey suits will be paying a visit.

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Labour take 10 point poll lead over Tories. THAT’LL DO!

Projection of Westminster General Election results based on a poll published 12 January 2022.
View High Resolution Image

That’ll do

Breakthrough poll suggests a 331-seat general election victory for the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer.

BoJo the killer clown is on the ropes after taking a political pounding for telling lies denying he was partying while the country was under a strict pandemic lockdown.

At Prime Minister’s Questions, Starmer called on Johnson to resign.

On poll results like these, Starmer would be elected as Prime Minister if a General Election was held today.

As the Plusnet guy says, “In Yorkshire, when we say THAT’LL DO it means it’ll more than do.” ๐Ÿ˜€

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Let’s call a spade “a spade”

People can believe all kinds of things and I don’t mind.

What I mind is having my Twitter account unjustly suspended because I have dared to call a spade “a spade” (a t***** “a t*****”) and the woke army has maliciously reported my tweet.

There’s no “hateful conduct” in my tweet whatsoever.

Simply calling a spade “a spade”.

That is not “hateful” it is simply descriptive.

The woke army and their generals spend all their time trying to get competent people, scientists, CANCELLED, banned, excluded – so that the woke army can rule supreme, in parliament, in universities, in the police and courts and of course, in social media like Twitter.

But this woke army are INCOMPETENT KILLERS.

The woke army have killed 140,000+ Britons by misgovernment of the pandemic but for the woke army that’s a price worth paying to get competent people, scientists, cancelled, excluded and banned so that woke can rule.

I am not surrendering to those woke killers. I will fight.

Stand by your tran**

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Homelessness & The Housing Benefit Shambles

What Lorna Slater and the Scottish Greens are not telling us.

A big issue is Council benefits officials suspending claimants’ housing benefit for no good reason, on a whim, on a rumour, suddenly, with no notice, with no chance for the claimant to be heard before they suspend, with extreme difficulty in getting heard after they suspend, with unanswered claimant / customer telephone help lines, with emails that they “endeavour to answer within 28 days, however, this may not always be possible due to the high volume of enquiries received at certain times”.

Unless you are lucky enough to have savings in the bank then you can’t pay your rent while your housing benefit is suspended and that’s the first step on the road to homelessness.

Whether or not a tenant claiming benefits is actually evicted for being unable to meet their rent because of delays in benefits, any inability to pay rent when due will harm relations between tenant and landlord so any delays in benefits will acquire a bad reputation for benefit claimants as tenants.

Certainly that’s a big issue in Aberdeen, with my claim for housing benefit being suspended now and then, even though I’ve been on benefits and living at the same address for years. I always get it sorted out, eventually.

Neither Lorna Slater, nor Patrick Harvie, the Tenants’ Rights minister, nor any other Scottish Government minister has ever done anything to stop Aberdeen City Council suspending benefit in such an uncaring fashion so I assume that carelessness could be repeated by every other council in Scotland too, although I would hope not.

SUGGESTIONS

Any “New Deal for Tenants” must improve tenant rights vis-ร -vis the local council’s handling of claims and reviews of claims for housing benefit.

A New Deal for Tenants should insist there are no delays in awarding benefits and no suspension of benefits once awarded.

Suspension of housing benefit should be outlawed. Once a claim has been granted, it should be a crime for the council to withhold a claimant’s due housing benefit on any pretext pending a review of the claim or any change of circumstances.

Unless the council has irrefutable proof that the claimant can no longer possibly be entitled to the housing benefit claimed then the claimant should be given the benefit of any doubt and the housing benefit continue to be paid as normal until all outstanding questions answered, evidence gathered and uncertainties cleared up, one way or another.

Claimants should be fully heard at every stage that their claim is being assessed for the first time or reassessed because of a change of circumstances.

Claimant / customer telephone help lines should be answered immediately or if that is simply impossible (when calling out of office hours) then callers should be invited to record a message on an answering machine leaving their telephone number for a council official to call back in the next working day.

Emails should be replied to within 1 working day.

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Scotland’s Economy. Working to deliver economic transformation.

This is my reply to “Scotland’s Economy – Working to deliver economic transformation” – by Kate Forbes MSP published on the Scottish Government’s blogs.

The economy of Scotland suffered so badly and 10,000 Scots died with the Covid pandemic because the Scottish Government was tied politically to the misgovernment of the Scottish economy and the pandemic in Scotland by the United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who, in my opinion, is a man unfit for that office and something of “a killer clown”, so to speak.

Scottish leaders have a duty not only to our fellow Scots but to the people in the rest of the UK to be blunt about Johnson’s failings and to call for his removal from office.

The ministers of the Scottish Government chose to ignore good advice from able Scots, such as myself, to pursue different, more effective pandemic control policies – for effective quarantine for all entrants to Scotland, for faster vaccine supply arrangements, etc. – and instead chose to tie Scottish Government policies to the killer clown’s apron strings, calling that embarrassing dependence a “4 nations approach”, with cosmetic policy differences between England, Wales and Northern Ireland, akin to rearranging the deck-chairs on the Titanic.

It seems to be the obvious lesson to draw that if the Scottish Government is ever to have a “National Strategy” – for pandemics, for economic transformation, for anything – that is worthy of the name – then the National Strategy must be distinctly other than “tied to the apron strings of the UK”; it must be independent of the UK in certain critical areas.

A National Strategy for Economic Transformation must aim to win economically significant Scottish Government borrowing powers and the pursuit of that aim must, surely, begin with a critique of the history of the policies which has left the Scottish Government without such borrowing powers.

In my view, this means repudiating as akin to “UK daylight robbery of Scots’ savings” the policy of the UK since 1999 to deny to the Scottish Parliament and the Scottish Executive then the Scottish Government proper, economically significant, ยฃ Sterling government borrowing powers.

Holyrood has always been a pocket-money parliament lacking economic powers and that’s a grievance that the National Strategy for Economic Transformation must address in no uncertain terms.

Scots’ savings have been borrowed by the UK Government and through the Bank of England’s monetary policies, borrowed also by the financial institutions of the City of London – for their banksters’ own enrichment and we may assume often debauchery at the expense of the Scots.

Considering the above, it is curious to me that Kate Forbes would seek the advice of Nick Macpherson, the Permanent Secretary to the Treasury from 2005 to 2016 and therefore the top civil servant saying “Yes Minister” to the UK Treasury governing ministers – Blair, Brown, Darling, Cameron and Osborne – the robber-ministers of the Scots from 2005 to 2016.

I assume that Macpherson will not be able to return to the Scottish Government the savings of the Scots which he has embezzled on behalf of his UK Treasury minister bosses – amounting to, over those 11 years, at say the economically reasonable expectation of Scottish government borrowing powers in normal times of 8% of Scottish GDP – about 88% of Scottish GDP – or about ยฃ150 billion.

UK net borrowing % of GDP

Graph: UK net borrowing rose to 11% of GDP in 2009/10.

Clearly, if surprisingly Macpherson has come bearing a UK offer of compensation to the Scottish government in respect of its unfairly denied borrowing powers over previous years – let’s say a UK cheque for ยฃ150 billion payable to the Scottish Government – then I can see why indeed he would be given a seat at the table of Scottish government economic advisers. Otherwise, if Macpherson offers nothing but his empty-hand after the UK’s crimes of theft of Scots’ savings then why is this villain’s name listed as an adviser, Kate?

Macpherson, for the UK, has robbed Scots but I at least am not blind to that robbery. I can see what the UK Treasury has done with Scots’ savings. I encourage my fellow Scots to view this man’s tainted advice with suspicion.

When Scots’ savings are robbed by the UK then the least that the Scottish Government should expect from its own advisers is not to offer bad advice to agree to be a partner in crime for such a robbery.

The Scottish Government should expect good advice never to agree to a bad deal Fiscal Framework Agreement which denies the Scottish Government its proper borrowing powers, never falsely to characterise a bad deal as a “good deal”, as Anton Muscatelli gave bad advice about the 2016 bad deal Fiscal Framework Agreement, so one wonders why Muscatelli is still being asked for his bad advice?

The correct advice, if a good deal on borrowing powers is not on offer from the UK, is to advise the necessity that the Scottish Parliament must now legislate to establish Scotland’s own currency – and I have advised this course of action often, even being so bold as to suggest the name “the Scottish Pound Bannockburn” – SPB – for our new currency.

Scotland having our own currency would mean that 8% GDP borrowing powers in normal times and much more borrowing than that to deal with an economic crisis such as the Covid pandemic, would be borrowing powers secured and unlimited by the UK.

Aberdeen’s “Energy Transition Zone” is compromised by its association with Sir Ian Wood, whom I have already criticised in my earlier email, appended below. However, I do agree that the transition to “green”, renewable energy, offers the Scottish economy many business and trading opportunities.

I would like to warmly welcome the selection of Roz Foyer, the General Secretary of the Scottish Trades Union Congress. The advice of this advisory council must be agreeable to the representatives of the workers of Scotland of course.

I thank the other persons who have agreed to have their names added to this list of advisors and my main regret is that my name has not been added to that list.

“This is an official invitation to the entrepreneurs and thinkers, the job creators and the hard workers to join our national endeavour by working with us to make Scotland thrive.” – Kate Forbes

Thank you for the invitation Kate Forbes. I would be delighted to join our national endeavour by working with you and the Scottish government.

I should sadly note that I may not be able to do so as fully as I would prefer, for example, while I am held as a political prisoner or otherwise obstructed by the fascist police state acting on the nods and the winks of the SNP.

Yours sincerely etc.

 

On Wed, 30 Jun 2021 at 21:35, Peter Dow wrote:

I am forwarding the comment I made for publication on the Scottish Government’s blog post – Scotland’s Economy, Making Scotland a world class tech hub, in the sure and certain knowledge that my comment will not be approved for publication.

As you may know, I have offered to serve as a special adviser to Kate Forbes (and made her some other offers too, no doubt). I stand rebuffed but I still have things to say of relevance to any dutiful Finance and Economy Secretary of any Scottish Government.

“Opportunity North East” is a front for Queen’s man Sir Ian Wood who DESTROYED opportunity in the N.E. as Chancellor of RGU, crushing my academic freedom by continuing the policy to exclude me and no doubt other worthy scientists and academics.

Chancellors Wood at RGU and Camilla at Aberdeen Uni are a FASCIST THREAT to Scotland’s world class tech hub aspirations.

The decades of mismanagement of Aberdeen’s universities by their royalist, fascist officials has set back the economy of Scotland and the UK.

Wood and Camilla are agents of the monarchy that has set back our economy and ruined any contribution I might have made if I had been given a fair opportunity and not put out of both of Aberdeen’s universities by their fascist lawyers like a dog.

Students and the public shouldn’t support ANY university staff pay claim or strike

Democracy and freedom are the solutions.

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Queensferry Crossing Animated 3D Computer Model

An animated 3D computer model of the Queensferry Crossing as viewed from a viewpoint which circles around the bridge model.

The initial purpose was to confirm at a glance that the cable data and methodologies used to calculate cable length (which data I need for my electrical cable-heating design) were accurate or at least plausible.

Acknowledgements – Transport Scotland for providing (eventually) PDFs with the geometric data for the cables. Google Sheets to type the data into a spreadsheet. Desmos Graphing Calculator for their regression tool to fit catenary equation curves to the cable data. GeoGebra maths tools to build the 3D model.ย  OBS Studio to capture the slow motion animation. VideoPad Video Editor for speeding up the animation. YouTube for hosting the video. WordPress for hosting this blog.

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Peaceful assembly is a right that the law should FACILITATE, not criminalise

I’m commenting upon this story in today’s P&J.

Press & Journal: Aberdeen indy march organiser to face criminal trial over accusations safeguards were not sought

Peaceful assembly is a right that the law, the police and the courts should facilitate, not criminalise, nor witch-hunt, nor act as the jealous SNP’s Gestapo.

Apparently, the SNP leadership hates the very idea of someone other than themselves, the SNP leadership, organising a pro-independence event.

Apparently, the SNP leadership have decided to make an example of the All Under One Banner march organisers and the Scottish Government have tasked, by a nod and a wink, the Crown Office to prosecute Gary Kelly.

Why? Simply because the SNP leadership tell lies – they don’t actually support “independence for Scotland or for Scots”.

What the SNP leadership do support is independence for themselves as a Scottish government to dictate to and to enslave Scots, to take Scots as political prisoners whenever they feel hatred towards someone for expressing their own political views, which the SNP leadership can easily do as the devolved government of Scotland, because the Queen lets her ministers do whatever the hell they want to do and that’s why Sturgeon is so happy to welcome the Queen to Scotland or indeed to Holyrood.

So we are seeing another example of the Crown Office acting as the SNP’s Gestapo, which is particularly outrageous in this case considering what a great success the march for independence in Aberdeen in August 2019, which I was at, was, as I reported at this time in my blog.

Peter Dow, August 2019, March for Scottish Independence

There was no problem that I could see with any of the march and so it looks very much like politically motivated and vindictive for the SNP Scottish Government to misuse the Crown Office to try to take as political prisoner the organiser of that march. This is not in the public interest. This is very much against the public interest, in my opinion.

Sturgeon has recently appointed the SNP Deputy Leader, Keith Brown, as Justice Secretary.

Keith “Brownshirt” Brown

All Under One Banner had been prosecuted before now while Humza Yousaf was Justice Secretary and Useless said nothing to help justice –
The National – Independence march organiser jailed for 72 days over Glasgow event
– andย it looks like prosecuting Scottish independence march organisers is Brownshirt’s idea of “Justice” too.

Prosecutions are not the direct responsibility of the Justice Secretary but of the Lord Advocate. We know that James Wolffe is stepping down but the Scots urgently need a Lord Advocate with the wisdom to act in the public interest, someone like Aamer Anwar, for example.

However, the Justice Secretary has a duty to speak out and say when a prosecution is manifestly unjust, malicious or politically motivated, as this prosecution certainly is. Yousaf failed in his duty and now Brown is failing in his duty too.

The SNP leadership are increasingly misbehaving in government as Quisling Nazis, loyal to the Queen but disloyal to the people of Scotland who elected them to represent us, not enslave us.

I call on the First Minister to release ALL of her political prisoners, please.

DON’T be a Nazi, First Minister. It doesn’t suit you, or the Scots.

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To all MSPs: Please help free political prisoners in Scotland

Dear MSP,

Congratulations on your election (or re-election).

Perhaps it was easy enough for you to avoid being taken political prisoner on this occasion? All you had to do was to swear or to affirm your allegiance to the Queen.

Had you refused to do so as a matter of political conscience, you could have been arrested as a political prisoner, not today, but after a couple of months of turning up to the Scottish Parliament and refusing to utter those required words.

For others in Scotland, it is not so easy to avoid being taken political prisoner, being held in a police cell or in one of Her Majesty’s Prisons. It’s not easy for those of us with a sense of duty to the truth, to our conscience, to keep quiet when we feel we should speak up or write and publish, perhaps to save the life of someone who is not the Queen but whose life is worth just as much.

I would very much appreciate you doing all you can as an MSP to ensure that the Scottish Government does its duty to make sure that the police, prosecutors and courts do not take any more political prisoners and release those they have already taken as political prisoners.

The Scottish Parliament budgets about ยฃ3 billion a year for “public order and safety” but not all of that money is properly spent. Some of that money is misspent on the taking of political prisoners, some of whom are scientists, like me.

It is important for MSPs to speak out against the taking of political prisoners, to say that it is “unjust”.

MSPs cannot credibly duck their collective political responsibility for the actions of the police, prosecutors and courts in Scotland, ruled as part of the United Kingdom of the monarch to whom you have all just expressed your allegiance to, governed by the Scottish Government whose First Minister MSPs elect.

I note that only the other day that Whistleblower Craig Murray Sentenced To 8 Months In Prison Over His Reporting On Former Scottish First Ministerโ€™s Trial.

I had little interest in that trial as it seemed to me to be a bit of a Punch and Judy contest played out in the courts between the former and current First Minister, a politically motivated prosecution, but my interest has now been attracted by the court’s expressed intention to take a political prisoner and for a term of imprisonment far longer than anything I have ever had to endure, as I document on my Political Defence Blog.

The contempt of court finding of Craig Murray is all, so the lawyers say, something to do with “Jigsaw Identification” but I put the pieces of the political puzzle together in such a way as to hold to account the First Minister for her misgovernment that is allowing the taking of political prisoners.

Play the “Jigsaw Identification” puzzle!

The jigsaw image to put together is this one.

Some of the text of my email sent this afternoon to all Members of the Scottish Parliament, newly elected in May 2021.

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Queensferry Crossing stay cable strands – insulating timetable

Transport Scotland’s recent release to me ๐Ÿ˜€ of the details of the number of strands in each stay cable of the Queensferry Crossing allows me now to update my “Restranding Timetable” to allow the strands to be electrically insulated so as to carry a heating current for de-icing purposes.

The number of strands in the bridge 21,186ย  ย  100%
To be replaced with a new longer strand 440 2%
Replace with an old strand from a longer cable 7,764 37%
To be left as now 12,982 61%

Insulating Timetable South Tower Stay Cables

Click for high resolution

Insulating Timetable Centre Tower Stay Cables

Click for high resolution

Insulating Timetable North Tower Stay Cables

Click for high resolution

Note that the south and north towers stay cables would take longer to insulate / re-strand because the bridge designers apparently specified that those towers’ shortest, most vertical, most efficient cables with the easiest work-load should paradoxically use the strongest of the bridge’s stay cables.

Being shorter those cables are better re-stranded last so that they may re-use strands replaced from longer cables.

The centre tower stay cables seem to be designed more as expected from a structural engineering science point of view. I’m curious as to why the discrepancy?

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