Biden may not intend a change in the West’s nuclear policy but big change is coming.
The rest of the West – the UK, France, Europe, Australia, Canada, (and the eastern members of “the West”) Japan, South Korea, Taiwan etc. – all will see the need for a big change from our naive trust in the US nuclear weapons policy to deter Russia which has been found wanting when Biden failed to escalate to save Ukraine from Russian invasion because he, or another US president, may fail to escalate after an attack on us.
After all, Joe Biden doesn’t want World War 3 and so better to indulge a little sacrilege by betraying the USA’s “sacred commitment” to NATO Article 5 – “an attack on one, is an attack on all” – right Joe?
The rest of the Western world needs a credibile nuclear deterrent to deter Russia when the US declines to do so.
The West – excluding the US – needs to be able to match Russia nuke for nuke – 100s of ICBMs and 1000s of warheads.
The UK and France standing alone – as Biden has left us – do not have enough of a nuclear arsenal to deter Russia.
The US has the only comparable nuclear arsenal to Russia and when the US President fails to deter Russia – like Biden failed to – the world is at Russia’s mercy.
Non-proliferation is dead
The era of nuclear weapons non-proliferation is dead and Biden killed it by refusing to risk nuclear war to save Europe, specifically Ukraine, from Russian invasion.
3 nuclear weapons blocks of countries
I foresee that there will probably be 3 new blocks of nuclear weapons powers.
2. France+the European Union
3. Japan+South Korea+Taiwan
Any 2 blocks or all 3 blocks could cooperate for nuclear weapons development, production and deployment.
So yes, many countries which presently do not have nuclear weapons will in future get their own nuclear weapons arsenals – Australia, Canada, the EU, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and there may be others.
This is inevitable following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the rattling of nuclear sabres by Russia and the failure of the USA to escalate in Ukraine by using US forces to have no-fly zones, boots on the ground or otherwise go to war against Russia in Ukraine.
Between them, the nuclear superpower dickheads – Putin and Biden – have closed the era of nuclear weapons non-proliferation. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) is now not worth the paper it is written on.
The nuclear weapons game is afoot.
UPDATE – Nordic Nukes
With the news that both Sweden and Finland are intent on joining NATO, this opens up the prospect of establishing a new Scandinavian nuclear weapons power block, deploying, say, 4 nuclear weapons submarines, “boomers” to add the equivalent of the nuclear weapons deterrent capability of the UK or France to the western alliance!
4. Sweden + Norway + Denmark + Finland
Nordic Nukes! 😀